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Hi again. As I commented before I'm doing some statistics with Excel based on the timelines shown in this forum. View All Family & Spouse Timelines

Data used:

- I'm using data from 25th of September 2012 up to today. 1 year back from today.

- I'm using just data for 309 and 100 visas that have been already granted.

The results are:

1) Considering only applications through Berlin.

1.a. Average time from day of application up to visa granted = 175 days / 5.8 months
1.b. Average time from day that medicals are submitted up to visa granted = 112 days / 3.7 months

2) Considering all applications (all embassies around the world)

2.a. Average time from day of application up to visa granted = 161 days / 5.4 months
2.b. . Average time from day that medicals are submitted up to visa = 103 days / 3.4 months.

So putting the example of my case and using just the data and averages from Berlin.

I applied on 09/05/2013 + 175 days = 30/10/2013 (Statistical forecast based on average 1.a)

also

I submitted my medicals on 11/06/2013 + 112 days = 01/10/2013 (Statistical forecast based on average 1.b)

Conclusion: Both values are good statistical references but as you can see it is not the same forecast result, but I believe that we can assume that the visa will be granted between both dates (if your case follow the statistical tendency). So I do hope my visa gets granted in October too…Fingers crossed as we have a wedding in Sydney early November so we may stay.

If you want the Excel file or you want me to calculate your forecast just let me know. The Excel can be adjusted by many factors, dates, country of application, embassy of application… giving you the average result as above.
 

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I got it!!!

I GOT MY 309 VISA GRANTED!!!!
In 5 months and a half time. No Stat. Declaration needed.
I was sitting in my office desk, I saw the mail on my smartphone and I started screaming, jumping and crying like a child...and had nearly a heart attack.
All my workmates were so happy for me and started hugging and kissing me, you know we are italians and very friendly and we cry easily!!
Now it's time to think about the move. And start my new life.
Thank you to all of you !! This forum helped to overcome the sad moments and it's a source of precious information.
I hope that those who are waiting won't wait too long.
God Bless all of you.:)
 

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I GOT MY 309 VISA GRANTED!!!!
In 5 months and a half time. No Stat. Declaration needed.
I was sitting in my office desk, I saw the mail on my smartphone and I started screaming, jumping and crying like a child...and had nearly a heart attack.
All my workmates were so happy for me and started hugging and kissing me, you know we are italians and very friendly and we cry easily!!
Now it's time to think about the move. And start my new life.
Thank you to all of you !! This forum helped to overcome the sad moments and it's a source of precious information.
I hope that those who are waiting won't wait too long.
God Bless all of you.:)
Soooo good!!!! Congratulations!!!

I'm getting really excited as I'm getting pretty close to the 5 months.

All the very best!!!! :)
 

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Oh, I am SO HAPPY for you both, img and chocolate! Img, I'm tearing up too at your description of your reaction... that's going to be mine, too, if we're approved! BIG HUGS!
 
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The results are:

1) Considering only applications through Berlin.

1.a. Average time from day of application up to visa granted = 175 days / 5.8 months
1.b. Average time from day that medicals are submitted up to visa granted = 112 days / 3.7 months
Wow, fantastic work on the stats. Can I just clarify with your 2nd point regarding medical. Is it 3.7 months presuming that you submitted the visa application without a medical, and they've requested it from you?

My partner and I are currently getting the medical done before we lodge the visa application, in the hopes it will speed up the process. Is this the case for anyone?

p.s. congratulations to img68 and chocolate for your recent approvals!
 

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Thank you all!! This Forum has gotten me through the Long waiting period.
And suddenly everything is moving so fast.
I`m flying back to Melbourne on the 12th of October, less than 2 weeks and since then I still have to work, so time will be flying past and I`ll probably have Trouble getting everything organised in time!
But then those 2 weeks seem to be the longest ever. Sometimes I just want to go to sleep and wake up on the 11th, so that I can pack up my things and go :)
 

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Wow, fantastic work on the stats. Can I just clarify with your 2nd point regarding medical. Is it 3.7 months presuming that you submitted the visa application without a medical, and they've requested it from you?

My partner and I are currently getting the medical done before we lodge the visa application, in the hopes it will speed up the process. Is this the case for anyone?

p.s. congratulations to img68 and chocolate for your recent approvals!
Thanks Mitch33, :)

The idea of taking the date of the medical submitted as reference date is just because one reason, the embassy requests the medical when the initial assessment against relevant legislative requirements for the visa application has been completed. Therefore we can assume that at that point all the paperwork is OK and is just about the medical and their internal process after.

About your idea of getting the medicals at the time of application, as far I understand in the application form they do recommend to wait for the medical check until they request it. I asked time ago why and the response was that deppending the case they can ask for more checks during the medicals, imagine for example that you have been living or travelling in a country where there are some risks (you specified these details in your initial application) they could ask you for some extra tests. Not all medicals are the same. But I guess that you can have the medicals before and if they don't request more will speed up the process.

You can take the 3.7 months average time when you get the response from the embassy that everything is OK and you just need to wait for the visa.

Thanks and all the very best to you and everybody in this amazing forum!
 

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Thanks Mitch33, :)

The idea of taking the date of the medical submitted as reference date is just because one reason, the embassy requests the medical when the initial assessment against relevant legislative requirements for the visa application has been completed. Therefore we can assume that at that point all the paperwork is OK and is just about the medical and their internal process after.

About your idea of getting the medicals at the time of application, as far I understand in the application form they do recommend to wait for the medical check until they request it. I asked time ago why and the response was that deppending the case they can ask for more checks during the medicals, imagine for example that you have been living or travelling in a country where there are some risks (you specified these details in your initial application) they could ask you for some extra tests. Not all medicals are the same. But I guess that you can have the medicals before and if they don't request more will speed up the process.

You can take the 3.7 months average time when you get the response from the embassy that everything is OK and you just need to wait for the visa.

Thanks and all the very best to you and everybody in this amazing forum!
Ok great thanks for the clarification.
 

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congratulation a i img 68 and chocolate ,so happy for you ,now im in the trid month.......is so stressfull this long wait ..i hope to get my for december.god bless you
 

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@jjferrandis: I assume that means people send their Medical assessment in on average 2.1 months after they've applied? I'm asking because we would like to move to Australia in January 2015 and the Medicals cannot be older than 1 year when you enter Australia. We were thinking mid-late December would be a good time to apply as we assume they would ask for the Medicals at the start of February 2013 which would be perfect. I hope you this isn't confusing you! Haha.

Also, for anyone else like myself that was wondering about the stat dec's when applying to Berlin Embassy, I phoned this morning and she said please do NOT include stat decs when you apply unless they are essential in your application (e.g. You lived with your family and need them to state so). I was told if it were necessary they will ask for the stat decs later in the process and it will not hold up the time frame of your visa being granted.
 

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@jjferrandis: I assume that means people send their Medical assessment in on average 2.1 months after they've applied? I'm asking because we would like to move to Australia in January 2015 and the Medicals cannot be older than 1 year when you enter Australia. We were thinking mid-late December would be a good time to apply as we assume they would ask for the Medicals at the start of February 2013 which would be perfect. I hope you this isn't confusing you! Haha.

Also, for anyone else like myself that was wondering about the stat dec's when applying to Berlin Embassy, I phoned this morning and she said please do NOT include stat decs when you apply unless they are essential in your application (e.g. You lived with your family and need them to state so). I was told if it were necessary they will ask for the stat decs later in the process and it will not hold up the time frame of your visa being granted.
I think most people get a case officer assigned within 1-3 weeks. Usually, first thing the case officer ask is medical (and police check if not yet provided). In my case, it was written that I need to provide the medical within 28 days.

Considering that current "claimed" processing time are 6-9 months, in your situation I would apply mid January 2014.

You might want to check when the visa application fee get updated too: they usually go up, and if they go up 1 of January, then you should apply right before to save a few $$ :)
 

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I thought the medicals cant be older then a year when the visa is granted.

So that means we have to be in australia before feb 21st? Thats the date we did the medicals. Ofcourse we would try to get there asap after a grant (we hope to be in Aus by the end of this year) but what if it takes longer to get a grant. We're already waiting for almost 9 months now.

Worst case we'd only have a few weeks to get in or have to redo the medicals?
 

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I thought the medicals cant be older then a year when the visa is granted.

So that means we have to be in australia before feb 21st? Thats the date we did the medicals. Ofcourse we would try to get there asap after a grant (we hope to be in Aus by the end of this year) but what if it takes longer to get a grant. We're already waiting for almost 9 months now.

Worst case we'd only have a few weeks to get in or have to redo the medicals?
It seems to me that medical and police check are only valid a year, and that when the visa is granted, you have to enter before the end of validity of your medical and/or police check.

From the booklet (1127.pdf on the immigration website) page 19, it claims that if the processing time goes above 12 months, you will be required more medical exams.

Marjan, if I was you, I would contact the CO at 10 months (after you medical date) in a concise email asking if you will need to redo your medical, and to inquiry about the limit date of entry in case your visa get granted soon.
 

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If the process needs more time CO can extend medicals for further 6 months.
 
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