Offshore Spouse Visa Processing Times at the London Embassy - Page 147

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Offshore Spouse Visa Processing Times at the London Embassy - Page 147


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  #1461 (permalink)  
Old 07-19-2018, 10:11 AM
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How come you expect it to drop?


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Old 07-19-2018, 11:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jon the hat View Post
Same here. Not going to panic, I expect this to drop again in July.
I really hope so.

My immi has changed to 21-26 months too. When I applied it was 9-12 months.

Application Submitted: 13- Apr-2018
Medical Completed: 08-May-2018
Status: Received
Heard: Nothing

It's a very straightforward case so here's hoping!

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  #1463 (permalink)  
Old 07-19-2018, 11:37 AM
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How come you expect them to drop


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  #1464 (permalink)  
Old 07-19-2018, 11:53 AM
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My theory is that the processing time stats cannot really jump that much in a month, so they have done something strange which has skewed the numbers. I guess they hit targets early so only worked on closing out old cases marked for rejection. Or something.


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  #1465 (permalink)  
Old 07-19-2018, 11:55 AM
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it's averages so very easy to have big charges.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jon the hat View Post
My theory is that the processing time stats cannot really jump that much in a month, so they have done something strange which has skewed the numbers. I guess they hit targets early so only worked on closing out old cases marked for rejection. Or something.


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  #1466 (permalink)  
Old 07-20-2018, 08:41 AM
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Originally Posted by Aussie83 View Post
it's averages so very easy to have big charges.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jon the hat View Post
My theory is that the processing time stats cannot really jump that much in a month, so they have done something strange which has skewed the numbers. I guess they hit targets early so only worked on closing out old cases marked for rejection. Or something.
Read somewhere that it could be due to a lot of people applying at the end of June and beginning of July (so end of financial year and start of the visa price increase etc) so now they have a bulk load sitting there so the processing time went up. I’m hoping it’ll settle down once the influx of new applications drops down a little.

As for my own application,

Applied end of May 2018, fully front loaded including medical and police checks. Was hoping London would move fast but it’s eerily quiet. Had secretly hoped to move later this year but not feeling all that confident now.

What I sometimes wish for is that somewhere - anywhere!- someone from the visa office would sit down and type up a message explaining why it takes so long. I would love to understand their process. Logically I know they have to be rigorous but at the same time I struggle to believe it takes that long to go through applications. If should be fairly clear in most cases whether a visa should or shouldn’t be granted.

I’d love to understand how the process works. I think it would stop a lot of us wondering and worrying. Oh well, one can dream, right?

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PMV applied 23/5/2018

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  #1467 (permalink)  
Old 07-20-2018, 09:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jon the hat View Post
My theory is that the processing time stats cannot really jump that much in a month, so they have done something strange which has skewed the numbers. I guess they hit targets early so only worked on closing out old cases marked for rejection. Or something.
An example of how stats can change:
Theoritical example from 100 applications.

Month 1: 75 applications done in under 12 months = 75% in under 12 months.

Month 2: 74 done in under 12 months, 1 takes 21 months = 75% in under 21 months.

The 50% figure would be interesting to see...


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  #1468 (permalink)  
Old 07-20-2018, 04:15 PM
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Originally Posted by JandE View Post
An example of how stats can change:
Theoritical example from 100 applications.

Month 1: 75 applications done in under 12 months = 75% in under 12 months.

Month 2: 74 done in under 12 months, 1 takes 21 months = 75% in under 21 months.

The 50% figure would be interesting to see...
Yes noted, sometime stats really don't tell you the truth.. I must say I relied more on the successful applications on here and their timelines, unfortunately they have also slipped. I am not planning on moving to Australia for 2 years, but timing of the grant will determine whether I have to fund a trip myself for validation or whether I can utilize a work trip to Sydney!


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  #1469 (permalink)  
Old 07-20-2018, 05:55 PM
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We're now thinking about an additional Plan B to tide us over through the wait. I can't go over to Oz for long spells at a time because I'm self-employed and run a business singe handedly. I need to keep my business going until we get a decision regarding our PMV 300.

But my OH can't take as many hols as me because he is employed and only gets a certain number of days a year from his employer in Oz.

So it's money v time

Maybe wondering about the long service route for him as that would be a valid way of spending a decent period of time together while we wait, albeit in the UK instead of Oz.


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  #1470 (permalink)  
Old 07-21-2018, 09:17 AM
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https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.smh...20-p4zsp6.html

This article pretty much sums up the reason behind the increase in processing times


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