Is this Approval Trend Accurate?

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Is this Approval Trend Accurate?


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Old 06-12-2018, 09:07 AM
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Is this Approval Trend Accurate?

I had a look at some timelines of applications on this forum and I noticed that the people who applied in December to the start of April had their application approved faster than those after April.

Those that applied in August waited the longest.

Wish I hadn't been so pedantic about the paperwork being perfect and had applied in March.

Thoughts?


Last edited by Ella2016; 06-12-2018 at 09:13 AM.

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Old 06-12-2018, 09:57 PM
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A very interesting question and one that we only have limited data to answer.

My gut suggests that yes it's correct.

This year and las year it seemed that Immi had a grant flurry at the end of the financial year as if making a quota. Then at the beginning of the next financial year it continued then suddenly stopped as if they were worried about fulfilling the quota too quickly. And repeat.

As to the accuracy of this I have no facts nor figures to back it up it's purely based on how things have seen from the many visa applicants I've seen on here and Facebook.

My migration agent is also of a similar mind about them being very generous with grants at the moment - although I've not asked for his opinion as to why.

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Old 06-13-2018, 01:17 AM
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Originally Posted by Mania View Post
A very interesting question and one that we only have limited data to answer.

My gut suggests that yes it's correct.

This year and las year it seemed that Immi had a grant flurry at the end of the financial year as if making a quota. Then at the beginning of the next financial year it continued then suddenly stopped as if they were worried about fulfilling the quota too quickly. And repeat.

As to the accuracy of this I have no facts nor figures to back it up it's purely based on how things have seen from the many visa applicants I've seen on here and Facebook.

My migration agent is also of a similar mind about them being very generous with grants at the moment - although I've not asked for his opinion as to why.
There was also a big boom in grants around the time they (case officers) usually take their Christmas holiday in 2017. It was very unusual at the time I thought because usually, December into early January is very quiet, with quite a few grants occurring both before and after that period. But this past year grants rolled in through November-December. The wait time for partner visas was at a peak as well, so that could've affected things.

I also noticed there's ebbs and flows with TR and PR visas, like immigration rotates which type they're focusing on every few months. That being said, I saw a PR grant for someone who applied in Oct, so don't give up hope OP!

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Old 06-13-2018, 06:28 AM
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Originally Posted by HRose313 View Post
There was also a big boom in grants around the time they (case officers) usually take their Christmas holiday in 2017. It was very unusual at the time I thought because usually, December into early January is very quiet, with quite a few grants occurring both before and after that period. But this past year grants rolled in through November-December. The wait time for partner visas was at a peak as well, so that could've affected things.

I also noticed there's ebbs and flows with TR and PR visas, like immigration rotates which type they're focusing on every few months. That being said, I saw a PR grant for someone who applied in Oct, so don't give up hope OP!
In past years (more than 3 years agoish) this information was very easy to find.

Almost every Embassy had almost the exact amount of visas issued every month (including the holiday periods for that location), the only exception was June were grants were all over the place - some greatly more than normal for that Embassy per month or greatly less even for the same Embassy the following year).

The variation of partner visa grants for each Embassy was honestly less than a total change of 5 for 11 months of the year.

What did change was a variation in the numbers of grants per Embassy year on year. It certainly seems each Embassy was given quotas each year - I assume based on the application trend of the past year.

I have seen several of the super fast grants happening over recent months, but done no research to try find out why - mostly as that info is hard to find now or not even published.

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Old 06-13-2018, 07:27 AM
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HRose313 Thanks for the sympathy. That's interesting ref to the ebbs and flows.It makes sense as to why they take a long time.

Mania and ampk I noticed that the Canadian group keep an Excel spreadsheet with data about their visa application. Maybe, it would benefit everyone else if I started one. I just don't know how to permanently keep it on this website.

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Last edited by Ella2016; 06-13-2018 at 07:41 AM.

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Old 06-13-2018, 07:59 AM
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There was a Russian one also, but not seen it for a while now.


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Old 06-13-2018, 11:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Ella2016 View Post
HRose313 Thanks for the sympathy. That's interesting ref to the ebbs and flows.It makes sense as to why they take a long time.

Mania and ampk I noticed that the Canadian group keep an Excel spreadsheet with data about their visa application. Maybe, it would benefit everyone else if I started one. I just don't know how to permanently keep it on this website.
Where did you find the Excel spreadsheet for the Canadian group? I am from Canada and would like to enter my dates there as well

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Old 06-14-2018, 12:54 AM
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Originally Posted by Ella2016 View Post
HRose313 Thanks for the sympathy. That's interesting ref to the ebbs and flows.It makes sense as to why they take a long time.

Mania and ampk I noticed that the Canadian group keep an Excel spreadsheet with data about their visa application. Maybe, it would benefit everyone else if I started one. I just don't know how to permanently keep it on this website.
I've never followed the spreadsheets but I'm sure if you send one of the mods a PM they can point you in the right direction.

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Old 06-14-2018, 03:56 AM
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Originally Posted by Mania View Post
I've never followed the spreadsheets but I'm sure if you send one of the mods a PM they can point you in the right direction.
Thank you Mania!

Does anyone else know where I can find that spreadsheet?


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Old 06-14-2018, 07:03 AM
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@Ejona I'm trying to find it right now. Isn't as easy as I thought it would be. I stumbled upon it in a post.

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